Are lower tax rates linked to higher home appreciation?

TRD MIAMI /
Apr.April 20, 2018 01:30 PM

Nobody likes getting tax bills, especially homeowners who are burdened with ever-escalating local property taxes. Last year, property taxes collected by local and state governments rose by an average 6 percent — $293.4 billion in total — almost three times the annual rate of inflation.

But the tax rates you pay are probably very different from what owners pay elsewhere. In Essex County, New Jersey, the average property tax on a single-family home last year was just under $12,000, according to a new study by ATTOM Data Solutions, a firm that tracks information on 155 million U.S. properties. In West Virginia, by contrast, the average was just $807.

Sure, average home values in New Jersey and West Virginia differ dramatically, as do the effective tax rates imposed by local governments to pay for the services they provide. But here’s a question: Is there a link between property-tax rates and the rate at which your home appreciates in value? Are areas with high housing costs and tax rates less likely to see high appreciation rates? Do markets with more affordable prices and low tax rates do better on appreciation?

It’s a complex subject. But ATTOM Data’s voluminous property-tax files, plus its trove of current and historical home value and price information, open the door to take at least a peek. For this column, I asked ATTOM to conduct a new statistical analysis, comparing recent appreciation rates and home-value data with effective local property rates around the U.S.

The findings are intriguing:

— Homes in areas with the highest effective property-tax rates — that is, the average tax rate expressed as a percentage of estimated home values — appear to have appreciated more slowly during the past year and the past five years on average than homes in markets with lower tax rates. Homes in those areas increased in value by an average of 28 percent during the past five years and 3 percent in 2017.

— Homes in the middle third of markets, where effective tax rates are more modest, experienced higher rates of home-value appreciation — 35 percent on average over five years, 7 percent during the past year.

— Homes in the bottom third in terms of effective tax rates saw values increase faster — an average 42 percent over five years, 5 percent in the past year.

Daren Blomquist, senior vice president of ATTOM, cautions that there are exceptions to the overall trend here, “notably markets in Texas with high property-tax rates but also very strong home-price appreciation over the past year and five years.” Illinois has high tax rates (2.2 percent) yet saw average values statewide increase by 10 percent last year.

As a general rule, the highest effective tax rates in the nation are in the Northeast and the Midwest, with a smattering in Florida and Oregon. New Jersey had the highest overall rate (2.28 percent and an average five-year price appreciation rate of just 6 percent.) Connecticut’s 1.99 percent effective tax rate ranked it seventh highest nationwide. But the state experienced a one-year average price gain of just 1 percent and a five-year average of just 5 percent.

Maryland and Virginia average home prices are relatively high, but their effective tax rates are surprisingly moderate compared with the nation overall. Maryland posted an average rate of 1.03 percent and experienced a five-year, 15 percent average home-price gain. Virginia’s average tax rate was 1.05 percent; its five-year average gain 20 percent. The District of Columbia is a mixed bag — a below-average 0.65 percent effective rate on an average home value of $789,391, a 1 percent average value gain last year and a 26 percent appreciation rate over the past five years. California had a below-average effective property tax rate of 0.76 percent in 2017 and a one-year average gain in value of 8 percent.

What to make of these results? The study’s three general conclusions above are noteworthy, but keep in mind that the study’s scope and methodology were limited. Taxes alone do not determine demand — or home-appreciation rates. Multiple combined factors can also be important: local economic conditions, employment and school quality, among others.

But on average, low to modest tax rates appear to be connected to higher recent appreciation. If you’re on a fixed income and looking at potential retirement areas, or you’re a first-time buyer and affordability is key, tax rates may be an essential consideration.


Related Articles

arrow_forward_ios
President Trump and Mar-a-Lago Club (Credit: Joe Raedle/Getty Images, and Pete Marovich/Getty Images)

Trump faces $1.5M in Palm Beach County property taxes

Trump faces $1.5M in Palm Beach County property taxes
Gables Town Colony apartment complex, Sue Ansel of Gables Residential

Gables Residential scores $85M loan for Boca Raton apartment complex

Gables Residential scores $85M loan for Boca Raton apartment complex
Broadstone City Center with Alliance Residential’s Bruce Ward and Nuveen CEO Jose Minaya

Nuveen pays $103M for West Palm luxury apartments

Nuveen pays $103M for West Palm luxury apartments
Edmund Ansin and the property (Credit: Google Maps)

Billionaire TV family sells Miramar property to Florida Crystals

Billionaire TV family sells Miramar property to Florida Crystals
Toscana apartments and Juan Porro of FCI Residential

Florida Crystals sells Margate rentals for $60M

Florida Crystals sells Margate rentals for $60M
From left: Andrea and Renzo Rosso

Diesel family dishes on Wynwood condo project

Diesel family dishes on Wynwood condo project
From left: Howard Stern, President Trump, Sydell Miller, and Ken Griffin, with the island of Palm Beach (Credit: Getty Images and iStock)

Here’s how much President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago pays in property taxes

Here’s how much President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago pays in property taxes
 4601 Le Jeune Road, Jose Boschetti and Maurice Boschetti

Gables Residential sells dev site near Shops at Merrick Park

Gables Residential sells dev site near Shops at Merrick Park
arrow_forward_ios

The Deal's newsletters give you the latest scoops, fresh headlines, marketing data, and things to know within the industry.

Loading...