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Single-family, condo spike as AI boom meets Lurie administration to reverse “doom loop”

“Mansion shortage” replaces public safety on list of worries amid SF rebound

Mayor of San Francisco Daniel Lurie

San Francisco’s housing market is whirring back to life thanks to the artificial intelligence boom. 

The combination of AI attracting an influx of workers looking for a home, moderate Mayor Daniel Lurie taking office and other city leadership changes have helped fuel the city’s comeback, the Wall Street Journal reported. The surge in tech wealth, combined with the city’s perennial housing shortage, is reigniting competition for homes in sought-after neighborhoods like Pacific Heights and Noe Valley.

A recent home sale in Pacific Heights highlights how strong demand is. A modest two-bedroom co-op recently drew 14 offers and sold for more than $1.6 million, roughly $400,000 above its asking price, even though buyers have to climb eight flights of stairs to reach it. 

The bidding war is part of a broader resurgence in parts of the city’s housing market after several sluggish years. The median single-family home price in San Francisco jumped 23 percent year-over-year to nearly $2 million, according to Compass data cited by the Journal. Condo prices rose 12 percent to a median of more than $1.2 million. By contrast, home prices nationwide are up 0.3 percent year over year, according to National Association of Realtors data. Deep-pocketed buyers have been purchasing so many mansions that the city is grappling with a so-called mansion shortage.

Condo prices, meanwhile, increased 12 percent year-over-year as of last month with a median sale price of more than $1.2 million, per Compass. Prices vary significantly depending on the neighborhood; Jackson Square saw notable jumps, and prices in AI office-packed Mission Bay were up 17 percent year-over-year at the end of 2025, according to Redfin and Realtor.com reports cited by the Journal. Neighborhoods like South of Market saw a decrease year-over-year, well below pre-pandemic levels. 

Renters are also feeling the squeeze of the AI boom. Across the city, rents were up 14 percent year-over-year last month, representing the fastest growth in the country over the past year, according to Apartment List. 

With AI giants like Anthropic and OpenAI preparing for initial public offerings, some buyers are looking to get in on the market before the financial gains further boost purchasing power for more people. San Francisco’s AI-driven recovery, then, could still be in its early innings rather than approaching its peak. 

Chris Malone Méndez

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